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Abstract
This article investigates how equity trading activity dynamically responds to credit spread shock. Analysis of monthly data from 1925M1 to 2013M7, using share volume turnover as a proxy, shows that equity trading activity significantly drops following a shock to credit spread. The results from the Granger-causality test show that credit spread Granger-causes equity trading activity to drop. The variance decomposition results indicate that credit spread forecasts about 1.77%, 2.25%, and 4.22% of equity trading activity at the 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month horizons, respectively.
TOPICS: Security analysis and valuation, financial crises and financial market history, statistical methods
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