PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Haim A. Mozes AU - John Launny Steffens TI - COMMENTARY: Volatility Forecasting AID - 10.3905/jot.2018.13.4.010 DP - 2018 Oct 31 TA - The Journal of Trading PG - 10--13 VI - 13 IP - 4 4099 - https://pm-research.com/content/13/4/10.short 4100 - https://pm-research.com/content/13/4/10.full AB - This paper provides a perspective on volatility forecasting. The basic idea is that a number of factors are leading to volatility having a lower baseline expected value than in prior years. These factors include lower earnings uncertainty, greater market efficiency, better market-marking, and the fact that volatility trading itself tends to reduce volatility.TOPICS: Volatility measures, exchanges/markets/clearinghouses